Government

🔀
Government

Cabinet reshuffle announced before September?

฿26.3M vol·10,302 traders·Closes Aug 30
Chance of yes
61%▼4
1.64x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

59% confidence

The crowd leans toward this outcome at 61%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with accelerating flow over the last 24h.

61% implies roughly 1-in-3 odds against. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Momentum: the lead side has gained ground in 6 of the last 7 sessions
  • Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers
  • Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿26.3M
lifetime notional
Traders
10,302
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿4.3M
resting on the book
Closes
Aug 30
1mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “Cabinet reshuffle announced before September” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

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