Elections

🗳️
Elections

General election held before end of 2027?

฿540M vol·364,542 traders·Closes Nov 27
Chance of yes
44%▼2.3
2.27x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

88% confidence

The crowd leans against this outcome at 44%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with accelerating flow over the last 24h.

44% implies roughly 1-in-2 odds for. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Policy incentives align with this outcome
  • Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers
  • Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿540M
lifetime notional
Traders
364,542
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿56.5M
resting on the book
Closes
Nov 27
1y left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “General election held before end of 2027” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Related news

ข่าวที่เกี่ยวข้อง

📰

Censure debate enters final day as coalition whips count votes

Bangkok Post·42m ago
🗞️

Senate committee floats casino bill amendments

The Nation·14h ago

Community

ชุมชนนักเทรด

See all
💬

Be the first to share a read

No takes on this market yet — post yours and set the tone.

AT
Share your read on this market…

Related markets

ตลาดที่เกี่ยวข้อง

🏛️
Parliament

PM survives the July no-confidence vote?

78%▲6.4
฿613M vol·236K traders·9d
📜
Constitution

Charter amendment referendum scheduled for 2026?

34%▼5.5
฿112M vol·74.9K traders·5mo
💸
Policy

Minimum wage raised nationwide to ฿400+ in 2026?

55%▲6.7
฿93.1M vol·37.9K traders·5mo