Parliament

🏛️
Parliament

PM survives the July no-confidence vote?

นายกฯ รอดศึกอภิปรายไม่ไว้วางใจ?

฿613M vol·235,797 traders·Closes Jul 14
Chance of yes
78%▲6.4
1.28x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

61% confidence

The crowd strongly favors this outcome at 78%. Pricing has diverged from the pre-event consensus, with accelerating flow over the last 24h.

78% implies roughly 1-in-4 odds against. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Policy incentives align with this outcome
  • Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move
  • Primary-source signals point in this direction ahead of confirmation

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿613M
lifetime notional
Traders
235,797
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿64.2M
resting on the book
Closes
Jul 14
9d left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “PM survives the July no-confidence vote” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Related news

ข่าวที่เกี่ยวข้อง

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Censure debate enters final day as coalition whips count votes

Bangkok Post·42m ago

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