Parliament

🧮
Parliament

Coalition holds 300+ seats after next reshuffle?

฿11.7M vol·12,149 traders·Closes Nov 2
Chance of yes
41%▼4.3
2.44x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

64% confidence

The crowd leans against this outcome at 41%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with steady flow over the last 24h.

41% implies roughly 1-in-2 odds for. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Policy incentives align with this outcome
  • Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move
  • Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿11.7M
lifetime notional
Traders
12,149
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿1.6M
resting on the book
Closes
Nov 2
4mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “Coalition holds 300+ seats after next reshuffle” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Related news

ข่าวที่เกี่ยวข้อง

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The Nation·14h ago

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