Bangkok

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Bangkok

Bangkok governor announces re-election bid by December?

฿3.3M vol·1,511 traders·Closes Dec 2
Chance of yes
69%▲2.7
1.45x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

87% confidence

The crowd leans toward this outcome at 69%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with choppy flow over the last 24h.

69% implies roughly 1-in-3 odds against. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Policy incentives align with this outcome
  • Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers
  • Primary-source signals point in this direction ahead of confirmation

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿3.3M
lifetime notional
Traders
1,511
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿548K
resting on the book
Closes
Dec 2
5mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “Bangkok governor announces re-election bid by December” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Related news

ข่าวที่เกี่ยวข้อง

📰

Censure debate enters final day as coalition whips count votes

Bangkok Post·42m ago
🗞️

Senate committee floats casino bill amendments

The Nation·14h ago

Community

ชุมชนนักเทรด

See all
AP
Beam@beamdesk
77.7% accuracy · 1d

ทุกคนมองข้ามข้อมูลนี้กันหมด… base rate 10 ปีย้อนหลังอยู่ที่ ~70% ไม่ใช่ 45% ที่ตลาดให้ตอนนี้

🌆Bangkok governor announces re-election bid by December?69%
BK
Praew@praewtrades
62.8% accuracy · 1d

ทุกคนมองข้ามข้อมูลนี้กันหมด… base rate 10 ปีย้อนหลังอยู่ที่ ~70% ไม่ใช่ 45% ที่ตลาดให้ตอนนี้

🌆Bangkok governor announces re-election bid by December?69%
No @ 59%฿8.9K positiontap to trade →
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