Climate

🌏
Climate

COP31 host confirmed as an Asia-Pacific nation?

฿103K vol·54 traders·Closes Dec 2
Chance of yes
69%▲7.1
1.45x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

74% confidence

The crowd leans toward this outcome at 69%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with accelerating flow over the last 24h.

69% implies roughly 1-in-3 odds against. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers
  • Momentum: the lead side has gained ground in 6 of the last 7 sessions
  • Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿103K
lifetime notional
Traders
54
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿12.4K
resting on the book
Closes
Dec 2
5mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “COP31 host confirmed as an Asia-Pacific nation” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Community

ชุมชนนักเทรด

See all
SP
✓
Boat@boatbkk
58.7% accuracy · 12h

Entered at 34%, target 60% by Friday. Stop if it breaks 28%. Risk management > vibes.

🌏COP31 host confirmed as an Asia-Pacific nation?69%
CT
Champ@champbkk
83.3% accuracy · 14h

Sold half here. Never apologize for taking profit. 📈

🌏COP31 host confirmed as an Asia-Pacific nation?69%
Yes @ 67%฿36.8K positiontap to trade →
AT
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