Space

🚀
Space

SpaceX Starship completes a fully reusable flight in 2026?

฿7.6M vol·3,155 traders·Closes Jan 1
Chance of yes
57%▲5.9
1.75x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

62% confidence

The crowd leans toward this outcome at 57%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with choppy flow over the last 24h.

57% implies roughly 1-in-2 odds against. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Policy incentives align with this outcome
  • Primary-source signals point in this direction ahead of confirmation
  • Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿7.6M
lifetime notional
Traders
3,155
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿1.3M
resting on the book
Closes
Jan 1
6mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “SpaceX Starship completes a fully reusable flight in 2026” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Community

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