Climate

🌡️
Climate

Global average temperature 2026 sets a new record?

฿9.8M vol·4,592 traders·Closes Mar 2
Chance of yes
52%▲6.7
1.92x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

85% confidence

The crowd is split on this outcome at 52%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with accelerating flow over the last 24h.

52% implies roughly 1-in-2 odds against. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Momentum: the lead side has gained ground in 6 of the last 7 sessions
  • Policy incentives align with this outcome
  • Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿9.8M
lifetime notional
Traders
4,592
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿1.9M
resting on the book
Closes
Mar 2
8mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “Global average temperature 2026 sets a new record” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Community

ชุมชนนักเทรด

See all
SA
Som@somfc
66.4% accuracy · 15h

Held through the dip, adding on this pullback. Conviction unchanged — the fundamentals didn't move, only the price did.

🌡️Global average temperature 2026 sets a new record?52%
No @ 46%฿29.5K positiontap to trade →
AT
Share your read on this market…

Related markets

ตลาดที่เกี่ยวข้อง

🇺🇸
US Politics

US 2026 midterms: Democrats take the House?

64%▼6.8
฿139M vol·133K traders·4mo
🛢️
Energy

OPEC+ announces production cut before October?

43%▼3.7
฿1.5M vol·807 traders·2mo
🚀
Space

SpaceX Starship completes a fully reusable flight in 2026?

57%▲5.9
฿7.6M vol·3.2K traders·6mo