The crowd leans toward this outcome at 64%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with choppy flow over the last 24h.

64% implies roughly 1-in-3 odds against. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

• Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers
• Policy incentives align with this outcome
• Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.