Regulation

🏛️
Regulation

Thai SEC approves a spot Bitcoin ETF in 2026?

ก.ล.ต. อนุมัติ Bitcoin ETF ปีนี้?

฿150M vol·74,105 traders·Closes Jan 1
Chance of yes
66%▲6.1
1.52x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

61% confidence

The crowd leans toward this outcome at 66%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with choppy flow over the last 24h.

66% implies roughly 1-in-3 odds against. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers
  • Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move
  • Policy incentives align with this outcome

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿150M
lifetime notional
Traders
74,105
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿23.4M
resting on the book
Closes
Jan 1
6mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “Thai SEC approves a spot Bitcoin ETF in 2026” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Related news

ข่าวที่เกี่ยวข้อง

🏯

Thai SEC opens consultation on spot Bitcoin ETF framework

Nikkei Asia·3h ago

Community

ชุมชนนักเทรด

See all
WP
Dew@dewx91
50.1% accuracy · 20h

Fading the crowd here. When retail floods one side this fast, the base rate says take the other side and wait.

🏛️Thai SEC approves a spot Bitcoin ETF in 2026?66%
Yes @ 67%฿38.8K positiontap to trade →
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