₿

Bitcoin

Bitcoin above $150K by year-end?

฿43.3M vol42,771 tradersCloses Jan 1

Chance of yes

42%▼0.9

2.38x

payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

75% confidence

The crowd leans against this outcome at 42%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with accelerating flow over the last 24h.

42% implies roughly 1-in-2 odds for. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers
Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move
Momentum: the lead side has gained ground in 6 of the last 7 sessions

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume

฿43.3M

lifetime notional

Traders

42,771

unique accounts

Liquidity

฿6.1M

resting on the book

Closes

Jan 1

6mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “Bitcoin above $150K by year-end” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Community

ชุมชนนักเทรด

See all

Dew@dewx91

50.1% accuracy · 1d

ราคานี้คือของขวัญ 🎁 ใครยังไม่เข้าคือพลาดมาก

₿Bitcoin above $150K by year-end?42%

Fah@fahth

72.4% accuracy · 9h

The seasonality on this is brutal — check the last 5 years of TAT data before you buy the hype.