The crowd heavily discounts this outcome at 15%. Pricing has diverged from the pre-event consensus, with steady flow over the last 24h.

15% implies roughly 1-in-7 odds for. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

• Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers
• Momentum: the lead side has gained ground in 6 of the last 7 sessions
• Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.