Bitcoin

₿
Bitcoin

Bitcoin above $200K by year-end?

฿44.6M vol·19,378 traders·Closes Jan 1
Chance of yes
12%▼5
8.33x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

68% confidence

The crowd heavily discounts this outcome at 12%. Pricing has diverged from the pre-event consensus, with steady flow over the last 24h.

12% implies roughly 1-in-8 odds for. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Policy incentives align with this outcome
  • Primary-source signals point in this direction ahead of confirmation
  • Momentum: the lead side has gained ground in 6 of the last 7 sessions

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿44.6M
lifetime notional
Traders
19,378
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿7.5M
resting on the book
Closes
Jan 1
6mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “Bitcoin above $200K by year-end” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Related news

ข่าวที่เกี่ยวข้อง

🏯

Thai SEC opens consultation on spot Bitcoin ETF framework

Nikkei Asia·3h ago

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