Global Macro

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Global Macro

Fed cuts rates at the September FOMC?

฿141M vol·90,206 traders·Closes Sep 13
Chance of yes
72%▼5.4
1.39x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

64% confidence

The crowd strongly favors this outcome at 72%. Pricing has diverged from the pre-event consensus, with steady flow over the last 24h.

72% implies roughly 1-in-3 odds against. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers
  • Policy incentives align with this outcome
  • Momentum: the lead side has gained ground in 6 of the last 7 sessions

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿141M
lifetime notional
Traders
90,206
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿21.2M
resting on the book
Closes
Sep 13
2mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “Fed cuts rates at the September FOMC” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Related news

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BOT signals 'room to ease' as July inflation stays soft

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