Macro Health

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Macro Health

Household debt-to-GDP falls below 88% in official Q3 print?

฿440K vol·186 traders·Closes Nov 2
Chance of yes
24%▼2.6
4.17x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

71% confidence

The crowd heavily discounts this outcome at 24%. Pricing has diverged from the pre-event consensus, with accelerating flow over the last 24h.

24% implies roughly 1-in-4 odds for. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Policy incentives align with this outcome
  • Momentum: the lead side has gained ground in 6 of the last 7 sessions
  • Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿440K
lifetime notional
Traders
186
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿72.7K
resting on the book
Closes
Nov 2
4mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “Household debt-to-GDP falls below 88% in official Q3 print” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

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