Heat

🥵
Heat

Bangkok hits 40°C+ before this rainy season ends?

฿541K vol·527 traders·Closes Oct 25
Chance of yes
9%▼0.4
11.11x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

58% confidence

The crowd heavily discounts this outcome at 9%. Pricing has diverged from the pre-event consensus, with steady flow over the last 24h.

9% implies roughly 1-in-11 odds for. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Momentum: the lead side has gained ground in 6 of the last 7 sessions
  • Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers
  • Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿541K
lifetime notional
Traders
527
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿50.3K
resting on the book
Closes
Oct 25
3mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “Bangkok hits 40°C+ before this rainy season ends” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Related news

ข่าวที่เกี่ยวข้อง

📺

TMD issues advisory as storm Prapiroon strengthens over South China Sea

Thai PBS·1h ago

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