Storm Watch

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Storm Watch

A named tropical storm makes Thai landfall before September?

พายุขึ้นฝั่งไทยก่อนกันยายน?

฿48.7M vol·20,765 traders·Closes Aug 30
Chance of yes
48%▼1.2
2.08x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

60% confidence

The crowd is split on this outcome at 48%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with choppy flow over the last 24h.

48% implies roughly 1-in-2 odds for. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Momentum: the lead side has gained ground in 6 of the last 7 sessions
  • Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers
  • Primary-source signals point in this direction ahead of confirmation

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿48.7M
lifetime notional
Traders
20,765
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿5.7M
resting on the book
Closes
Aug 30
1mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “A named tropical storm makes Thai landfall before September” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Related news

ข่าวที่เกี่ยวข้อง

📺

TMD issues advisory as storm Prapiroon strengthens over South China Sea

Thai PBS·1h ago

Community

ชุมชนนักเทรด

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