The crowd leans against this outcome at 35%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with accelerating flow over the last 24h.

35% implies roughly 1-in-3 odds for. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

• Primary-source signals point in this direction ahead of confirmation
• Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers
• Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.