The crowd leans against this outcome at 38%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with steady flow over the last 24h.

38% implies roughly 1-in-3 odds for. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

• Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move
• Policy incentives align with this outcome
• Primary-source signals point in this direction ahead of confirmation

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.