The crowd leans against this outcome at 41%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with steady flow over the last 24h.

41% implies roughly 1-in-2 odds for. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

• Primary-source signals point in this direction ahead of confirmation
• Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move
• Momentum: the lead side has gained ground in 6 of the last 7 sessions

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.