War Elephants

🐘
War Elephants

Thailand to qualify for AFC Asian Cup semifinals?

ช้างศึกเข้ารอบตัดเชือกเอเชียนคัพ?

฿23.5M vol·22,616 traders·Closes Jan 31
Chance of yes
18%▲6.7
5.56x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

63% confidence

The crowd heavily discounts this outcome at 18%. Pricing has diverged from the pre-event consensus, with accelerating flow over the last 24h.

18% implies roughly 1-in-6 odds for. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers
  • Policy incentives align with this outcome
  • Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿23.5M
lifetime notional
Traders
22,616
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿3.3M
resting on the book
Closes
Jan 31
7mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “Thailand to qualify for AFC Asian Cup semifinals” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

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