Arrivals

🇨🇳
Arrivals

Chinese arrivals recover to 600K+ in any month this year?

฿25.3M vol·15,718 traders·Closes Jan 1
Chance of yes
49%▼4.3
2.04x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

87% confidence

The crowd is split on this outcome at 49%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with steady flow over the last 24h.

49% implies roughly 1-in-2 odds for. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Momentum: the lead side has gained ground in 6 of the last 7 sessions
  • Primary-source signals point in this direction ahead of confirmation
  • Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿25.3M
lifetime notional
Traders
15,718
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿3.1M
resting on the book
Closes
Jan 1
6mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “Chinese arrivals recover to 600K+ in any month this year” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Related news

ข่าวที่เกี่ยวข้อง

🌐

Chinese tour groups return to Phuket in largest numbers since 2019

Reuters·20h ago

Community

ชุมชนนักเทรด

See all
💬

Be the first to share a read

No takes on this market yet — post yours and set the tone.

AT
Share your read on this market…

Related markets

ตลาดที่เกี่ยวข้อง

🥇
Rankings

Bangkok ranked #1 in Mastercard Global Destination Cities 2026?

59%▲1.2
฿2.4M vol·1.8K traders·4mo
🛂
Policy

Visa-free stay for tourists extended again before 2027?

42%▲7.4
฿6.9M vol·6K traders·6mo
✈️
Aviation

New direct BKK–US route announced in 2026?

35%▼3.7
฿1.7M vol·1.3K traders·6mo