Arts

🎨
Arts

Thai pavilion wins award at Venice Biennale 2026?

฿127K vol·85 traders·Closes Nov 2
Chance of yes
21%▼1.5
4.76x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

65% confidence

The crowd heavily discounts this outcome at 21%. Pricing has diverged from the pre-event consensus, with choppy flow over the last 24h.

21% implies roughly 1-in-5 odds for. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move
  • Policy incentives align with this outcome
  • Primary-source signals point in this direction ahead of confirmation

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿127K
lifetime notional
Traders
85
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿11.7K
resting on the book
Closes
Nov 2
4mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “Thai pavilion wins award at Venice Biennale 2026” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Community

ชุมชนนักเทรด

See all
💬

Be the first to share a read

No takes on this market yet — post yours and set the tone.

AT
Share your read on this market…

Related markets

ตลาดที่เกี่ยวข้อง

🥋
Sport Heritage

Muay Thai added to 2030 Asian Games core program?

64%▼2.6
฿1.4M vol·820 traders·9mo
🗣️
Soft Power

Thai language learning apps pass 5M global downloads in 2026?

43%▲2.7
฿179K vol·87 traders·6mo
🛕
Heritage

UNESCO lists a new Thai site in 2026 session?

38%▼3.7
฿332K vol·142 traders·1mo