Loy Krathong

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Loy Krathong

Loy Krathong sky lanterns banned in Chiang Mai flight path this year?

฿1.4M vol·702 traders·Closes Nov 2
Chance of yes
66%▼4.4
1.52x
payout if right

Kaishi Intelligence

84% confidence

The crowd leans toward this outcome at 66%. Pricing has tracked the pre-event consensus, with accelerating flow over the last 24h.

66% implies roughly 1-in-3 odds against. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

  • Policy incentives align with this outcome
  • Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers
  • Primary-source signals point in this direction ahead of confirmation

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.

Market stats

สถิติตลาด

Volume
฿1.4M
lifetime notional
Traders
702
unique accounts
Liquidity
฿185K
resting on the book
Closes
Nov 2
4mo left

Rules & resolution

กติกาและการตัดสิน

This market resolves YES if the event described — “Loy Krathong sky lanterns banned in Chiang Mai flight path this year” — occurs before the close time shown, as reported by the resolution source.

Related news

ข่าวที่เกี่ยวข้อง

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